Contagions rise; forecast maximum peak on January 27

The circulation of the omicron variant and the relaxation of preventive measures during the end of the year festivities will cause Jalisco to register an increase in COVID-19 infections throughout this month.

According to projections from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, the maximum peak of cases would arrive around January 27.

The US agency predicts that the rebound in infected will be greater than in August and January of last year. In those months, more than two thousand cases were confirmed in one day.

With respect to the demand for hospital care and deaths, their estimates indicate that the trend would increase in the second week of February, but without reaching the previous “wave” numbers.

The IHME highlights the drop in the use of face masks, which in December had its lowest indicator since the start of the new coronavirus pandemic.

It also points out that mobility has registered pre-pandemic levels since the second half of 2021.

Last night, the State Government notified 1,512 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Jalisco. On January 1, 447 were reported.

The state Executive also documented five deaths from this cause. There are 17,659 since the health emergency began in March 2020.

Despite this situation, the federal Ministry of Health kept Jalisco green (low risk) in the update of the COVID-19 traffic light, which will be in effect until January 23.

The State has remained in that indicator since November 2021. The last time it was in the red was in the fortnight from August 9 to 22.

There are currently 180 patients in public hospitals. There are 1,253 beds enabled in the Entity.

According to the German platform GISAID, which provides data on the influenza virus and COVID-19, in Jalisco there are 43 confirmed cases of the omicron variant.

With this figure, it ranks third nationally. It is surpassed by Mexico City, with 337, and the State of Mexico, with 81.


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